Zvi

Sequences

Immoral Mazes
Slack and the Sabbath
The Darwin Game

Comments

Covid 8/27: The Fall of the CDC

Yes, also in the hopes that it helps encourage others to wear them. As Silver_Swift says it's fine to use that. It can even be Level 1 - you're providing a true Bayesian update to others about whether masks work and what the consequences of wearing one would be!

Covid 8/27: The Fall of the CDC

I 100% listened and heard him get it very wrong, and lots of other people did too. And if he'd gotten it right, he wouldn't have had to apologize afterwards, so I'm rather confident he got it wrong.

(Which is why, sadly, apologizing is once again clearly the wrong strategic move, even when clearly the right thing to do. Sigh.)

WordPress Destroys Editing Process, Seeking Alternatives

No. It's from Illuminatus. I could write one easily enough.

WordPress Destroys Editing Process, Seeking Alternatives

It's fundamentally terrible and I don't see that changing.

WordPress Destroys Editing Process, Seeking Alternatives

Agreed that the game theory is worth thinking about more.

In general, I'm inclined to answer the second question with 'it's fine to talk about it in public because both your game theory should be robust to others knowing what it is, and also You Are Not The Target, a powerful mantra.

WordPress Destroys Editing Process, Seeking Alternatives

I'm using Windows, so that one's out. Would be happy to consider a good third-party editor. For now my third-party editor is 'write in Google Docs or word'.

WordPress Destroys Editing Process, Seeking Alternatives

I am not self-hosting. If transitioning to self-hosting is a reasonable solution I am willing to consider it - it would have to either be simple to do, or have other benefits.

Unifying the Simulacra Definitions

There are three mistakes. One is the one you worry about, that levels 3 and 4 will be seen as evil and dark arts and avoided, preventing effectiveness. You can't just hit ignore.

The second is to fail to understand level 4 and even level 3 and treat them as much less alien than they are with respect to levels 1 and 2.

The third is to gaze into the abyss and let it gaze too far into you, and lose your grip on reality. Elon and Steve and Walt are pretty special. It's something to aspire to.

Balancing all the messages is hard. And right now, I am worried mostly about the first one.

New Paper on Herd Immunity Thresholds

No, just no. You are being misled. Lots of people were sick in March and almost none of them caught it again in July. We know it's a minimum of 4 months.

I have talked about this many times in my posts so I won't say more here.

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