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I did not know about HPPD, although I've experienced it.  After a bad trip (second time I'd ever experimented), I experienced  minor hallucinogenic experiences for years. They were very minor (usually visuals when my eyes were closed) and would not have been unpleasant, except that I had the association with the bad trip.

I remember having so much regret on that trip. Almost everything in life, you have some level of control over. You can almost always change your perspective on things, or directly change your situation. On this trip though, I realized I messed with the ONE thing that I am always stuck with: my own point of view. I couldn't BELIEVE I had messed with that so flippantly. 

That said, the first time I tried hallucinogens, it was a very pleasant and eye-opening experience. The point is not to take it lightly, and not to assume there are no risks.

As another anecdote, I had a friend when I was 17 who sounds very much like you, John. He knew more about drugs then than I ever have during my life. His knowledge of what was 'safe' and what wasn't didn't stop his drug usage from turning into a huge problem for him. I am certain that he was better off than someone thoughtlessly snorting coke, but he was also certainly worse off than he would have been had he never been near any sort of substance. If nothing else, it damaged some of his relationships, and removed support beams that he needed when other things inevitably went wrong. It turns out, damaging your reputation actually can be bad for you.

If you decide to experiment with drugs (and I am not recommending that, just saying if), my advice is two-fold:

1) Don't be in a hurry. You can absolutely afford to wait a few years (or decades), and it won't negatively impact you or your drug experience. Make sure you are in the right headspace.

2) Don't let it become a major aspect of your life. Having a couple trips to see what it's like is completely different from having a bi-monthly journey and making it your personality to try as many different mind-benders as possible. I've seen that go very badly.

Your prediction for 2025 sounds alarmingly like... right now.

Well for my own sanity, I am going to give money anyway. If there's really no differentiation between options, I'll just keep giving to Miri.

I am not an AI researcher, but it seems analogous to the acceptance of mortality for most people. Throughout history, almost everyone has had to live with the knowledge that they will inevitably die, perhaps suddenly. Many methods of coping have been utilized, but at the end of the day it seems like something that human psychology is just... equipped to handle. x-risk is much worse than personal mortality, but you know, failure to multiply and all that.

Is this game playable by people only lightly familiar with the topic of AI safety? In other words, can I use this game to introduce friends to the ideas? Can I use it to convince skeptical friends? Or would it be too jargony/reliant on prior knowledge?

Edit: The play online option is non-functional, and I can't see any examples of a real hand, so it's hard for me to get a sense of what this game is like.

For this Petrov day, I'm also interested in how many people will have access to the button as a function of time. How many users have 1000+ Karma?

Is there anywhere to see the history of lesswrong Petrov day? I'd be interested in whether we've ever succeeded before. 

Also, I think most people know that the real cost of 1500 people not being able to check lesswrong for 12 hours is essentially 0. It may even be net positive to have a forced hiatus. Perhaps that's just a failure to multiply on my part. Anyway, I view this exercise as purely symbolic.

Interestingly, Jane will probably end up doing the exact same thing as Susan, only on the timescale of years instead of days. She kept those years in prison. If, in one iteration, the years immediately following prison were of some profound importance, she would probably keep those too. In the absence of a solar flair, she would find herself a 70 year old woman whose memories consisted of only the most important selected years from the 10s of thousands that make up her full history.

Thank you for the story.

Thank you for the response. I do think there should be at least some emphasis on boxing. I mean, hell. If we just give AIs unrestricted access to the web, they don't even need to be general to wreak havoc. That's how you end up with a smart virus, if not worse.

Then another basic question? Why have we given up? I know that an ASI will almost definitely be uncontainable. But that does not mean that it can't be hindered significantly given an asymmetric enough playing field.

Stockfish would beat me 100 times in a row, even playing without a queen. But take away its rooks as well, and I can usually beat it. Easy avenues to escaping the box might be the difference between having a fire alarm and not having one.

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